Electoral analysis

[John Abney-Hastings]

I've crunched some numbers and generated the following projections for the 2007 federal election House of Representatives results.

There are 148 seats so 75 constitutes a majority. The Independents are both from rural areas, have safe seats, and vote with the Coalition. Notice that is is possible to have a 74/74 draw.

Current configuration:

LIB 74 NAT 12 IND 2 / ALP 60

After I applied a uniform 5% swing in favor of the ALP (this matches the Sep 13 Newspoll):

LIB 60 NAT 9 IND 2 / ALP 77

And in the unlikely event of a uniform 10% swing to the ALP, annihilation would loom for the Coalition:

LIB 38 NAT 7 IND 2 / ALP 101

[Anarch]

I have no doubt that the Liberal Party will win again :) I would rather see the Liberal Party win than the Labor Party. Atleast the Liberal Party is committed to Europeans, their ideas are coming from the Centre for Independent Studies, a group I am a member of which warns of a huge European die-off if the demographics are not changed soon.

With Howard adopting our Aborigine and African plans we are making huge progress. :)
That's amazing. Keep up the good work. I checked out the website, there's a lot to like.

[whydoyouwanttoknow]

Go Labor!

Howard wants to destroy the Australian education system by copying the failing American one. As a 3rd year education student, I don't want my future career in the hands of the Liberals.

[Bartholomew Roberts]

I have no doubt that the Liberal Party will win again :) I would rather see the Liberal Party win than the Labor Party. Atleast the Liberal Party is committed to Europeans, their ideas are coming from the Centre for Independent Studies, a group I am a member of which warns of a huge European die-off if the demographics are not changed soon.

With Howard adopting our Aborigine and African plans we are making huge progress. :)

Which plans are they?

[Bartholomew Roberts]

Go Labor!

Howard wants to destroy the Australian education system by copying the failing American one. As a 3rd year education student, I don't want my future career in the hands of the Liberals.

Two points:

Firstly, education is largely the responsibility of State Governments (run by the ALP at the moment);

Secondly, if you are referring to Higher Education :rofl: you can go back to 1986 and blame the ALP for doubling the amount of Universities in this country overnight to allow any retard to obtain an undergraduate degree in almost any idiotic field of endeavour.

[whydoyouwanttoknow]

Two points:

Firstly, education is largely the responsibility of State Governments (run by the ALP at the moment);

Secondly, if you are referring to Higher Education :rofl: you can go back to 1986 and blame the ALP for doubling the amount of Universities in this country overnight to allow any retard to obtain an undergraduate degree in almost any idiotic field of endeavour.

I'm referring to Howard's plan to force the states to hand over education to the federal government through the application of black mailing by withholding the allocation of funds if they don't do what he tells them to do in regards to education policy. The states will still be making the decisions, but if they don't make the ones Howard wants they lose their funding from the federal government.

I know that schools here in QLD are "telling" their teachers that if they vote Liberal they'll be destroying their own career.

[Bartholomew Roberts]

I'm referring to Howard's plan to force the states to hand over education to the federal government through the application of black mailing by withholding the allocation of funds if they don't do what he tells them to do in regards to education policy. The states will still be making the decisions, but if they don't make the ones Howard wants they lose their funding from the federal government.

I know that schools here in QLD are "telling" their teachers that if they vote Liberal they'll be destroying their own career.

The point is that funding of schools is a State affair. The fact that the Federal Government can and does fund schools is more of a benevolent act rather than a requirement under the Constitution.

Our schools are poor. Literacy is of a poor standard as is numeracy/mathematics. I never knew what an adverb was, or a nominative until I started university. Schools in Australia are poor. It is the fault of State Governments for the poor syllabuses as well as tolerating poor teacher quality and their ridiculous unions.

[whydoyouwanttoknow]

The point is that funding of schools is a State affair. The fact that the Federal Government can and does fund schools is more of a benevolent act rather than a requirement under the Constitution.

Our schools are poor. Literacy is of a poor standard as is numeracy/mathematics. I never knew what an adverb was, or a nominative until I started university. Schools in Australia are poor. It is the fault of State Governments for the poor syllabuses as well as tolerating poor teacher quality and their ridiculous unions.

Australian school results are actually among the best in the world. We vastly outperform countries like the US.

The states may fund schools, but who do you think funds the states so they can then give it to the schools?