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Felix the Cat
11-09-2007, 07:04 PM
http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,,2208336,00.html

Naser Khader is one of Denmark's most popular MPs. Raised in a village outside Damascus by his Palestinian father and Syrian mother, the family moved to Copenhagen when he was 11.

Now the 44-year-old politician is set to play a key role in the outcome of next week's general election. He could be the the kingmaker of the country's next government.

The centrist party he founded six months ago, the New Alliance, currently holds between 4.5% and 5.1% of the popular vote. This puts him in a position either to support the current prime minister, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, who leads the current governing centre-right coalition, or the social-democrat opposition leader, Helle Thorning-Schmidt.

Mr Khader's prominence is all the more paradoxical as this Nordic country of 5.4m inhabitants has gone through six years of virulent anti-immigrant rhetoric, led by the far-right Danish People's party, the country's third most important political force, and a key parliamentary ally of Mr Fogh Rasmussen's minority government.

During that time, the DPP was able to push the government into introducing some of the toughest immigration rules in Europe. For instance, it is forbidden for Danish citizens aged 24 or under to bring in spouses from outside Denmark.

The immigration rules are so tough that Danes who marry foreigners often move to neighbouring Sweden because it is easier to get a residence permit for their spouse there than in their own country. Many live in the Swedish city of Malmo and cross the bridge linking Sweden and Denmark to work in Copenhagen.

Whether to relax immigration rules and asylum policies has been one of the main issues of contention in this election - and is one of the issues that will determine who Mr Khader will support.

"We need to have more regular work permits, like the [US] green card, so we can attract highly qualified immigrants," he told reporters yesterday. "We also need to allow asylum seekers to live among us, and not in asylum centres, where they lose their self-respect and skills, and children suffer [from the situation]."

Other key issues in the Danish election include reform of the Danish welfare state and possible changes to the high level of taxation. Top-rate tax is 63% and many people pay it, including an estimated 60% of schoolteachers.

Another issue of contention is limiting the influence of the far-right DPP. This was one of the main reasons why Mr Khader quit his original party, the centrist Social Liberal party, to create the New Alliance and try to play a "kingmaker" role.

As he met reporters yesterday, Mr Khader recalled with a smile how he grew up in Copenhagen's red-light district. "My father thought we lived in the safest street in Copenhagen because the police were always there," he said.

Mr Khader is not the only prominent politician of Middle Eastern origins in Denmark. Asmaa Abdol-Hamid, a 25-year-old social worker from the far-left Red-Green Alliance, and the daughter of Palestinian political refugees, is also running for parliament.

If she is elected - and at this stage, it looks like she will be - she would become the first MP to wear the hijab both in the Danish parliament and in Europe.

Her decision has created a storm of controversy. "Some politicians said I should get psychiatric help, others questioned whether I should be a parliamentary candidate because I am a religious person," she told Guardian Unlimited yesterday.

The Danish general election will take place on November 13.

raven
11-09-2007, 07:33 PM
These are the results for the latest poll (Oct 23-25) I'm aware of for the upcoming election.

Social Democratic Coalition

Red-Green Alliance
Seats: 5 Popular Vote: 2.8%

Socialist People's Party
Seats: 18 Popular Vote: 10.4%

Social Democrats
Seats: 47 Popular Vote: 26.6%

Coalition Total
Seats: 70 Popular Vote: 39.8%

Centrist Parties

Social Liberal Party
Seats: 12 Popular Vote: 6.6%

Christian Democrats
Seats: 0 Popular Vote: 0.7%

New Alliance
Seats: 6 Popular Vote: 3.5%

Liberal/Conservative Coalition

Conservative People's Party
Seats: 16 Popular Vote: 9.3%

Liberals
Seats: 48 Popular Vote: 27.3%

Danish People's Party
Seats: 23 Popular Vote: 12.7%

Coalition Total
Seats: 87 Popular Vote: 49.3%

If we go by these projections, it looks like the right-wing coalition is 1 seat shy of a majority. The Social Liberal and New Alliance will likely ally with the Social Democratic Coalition for a total of 88 seats it seems. This would be devastating for Denmark considering the progress made by the right-wing coalition over there.

However, let's keep in mind that polls are not pinpoint accurate. The actual real support in the general population can either be slightly to the right-wing or slightly to the left-wing because of the margin of error present in these kind of polls. As someone who has a degree of experience in statistics, what we can know with any certainty is that the results are very, very close (provided that the social liberals and new alliance do become kingmakers for the left). Plus the public will change their mind at the night of the election one way or another anyway.

Choppy deroute
11-10-2007, 03:55 AM
"Mr Khader's prominence is all the more paradoxical as this Nordic country of 5.4m inhabitants has gone through six years of virulent anti-immigrant rhetoric, led by the far-right Danish People's party, the country's third most important political force, and a key parliamentary ally of Mr Fogh Rasmussen's minority government."

Wow, that's some unbiased reporting right there. Sheesh.

Of course, they don't say that the basis of all that "virulent anti-immigrant rhetoric" is the simple fact that immigrants are a bunch of criminal parasites, or the fact that the measures we have taken against immigration ensures that we have less than a thousand people seeking asylum in Denmark compared to Sweden, who recieves close to 20.000 a year.

They also don't mention that the '24 year' rule they mention works, as was reported recently, since more and mor of those immigrants are now starting to find spouses from Denmark instead of bringing them to Denmark from abroad.

Also, it's interesting that all the other parties have now accepted all those policies based on that "virulent anti-immigrant rhetoric", so logically they must be as 'bad' as the DPP.

raven
11-14-2007, 02:24 AM
Here's an update. The right-wing coalition beat out the left-wing coalition, HOWEVER, it appears that the New Alliance may take the king maker role. Venstre (Liberals) lost 6 seats down to 46 and Det Konservative Folkeparti (Conservative People's Party) stayed at 18 while Dansk Folkeparti (Danish People's Party) gained one seat up to 25. That's 89, short of the 90 needed for the majority. Unfortunately it seems that support for the DFP is barely growing anymore. Overall the Right-Wing coalition lost 5 seats so it looks like the Left-Wing is getting stronger. The Socialist People's Party in particular gained 12 seats for themselves. With the way things are, it looks like it's going to be very difficult for Denmark to keep up with immigration reform and tackling Political Correctness.

http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSL1348437220071114


Danish PM Wins Third Term

By Kim McLaughlin

COPENHAGEN (Reuters) - Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen led his centre-right coalition to a third term in power in parliamentary elections on Tuesday, promising voters he would lower taxes and maintain a tough stance on asylum-seekers.

Rasmussen, 54, fought a close race with Social Democrat leader Helle Thorning-Schmidt, 40, who argued in her campaign that Danes would have to sacrifice better welfare for tax cuts.

"It's historic that for the third election in a row the Liberals are Denmark's biggest party," Rasmussen told supporters after the election.

He told Reuters later that he would live up to all his campaign promises, despite his reduced majority.

"We presented five comprehensive reforms when elections were called," he said. "It is my intention to pass them in the Danish parliament."

Rasmussen's Liberal-Conservative coalition and its far-right ally, the Danish People's Party (DPP), took a total of 90 seats in the 179-seat parliament.

While the bloc's outright majority was in question earlier in the vote count, it was assured after a supporting party won one of two seats in Danish territory the Faroe Islands.

The bloc held 94 seats before Tuesday's vote.

The outcome may have been tight but spirits were high at the Liberal Party's election night venue in central Copenhagen.

"I have never felt this good before. It's fantastic for Denmark and now we're going to party," said Berit Nielsen 18.

MORE OF THE SAME

Rasmussen unseated a tired Social Democrat government in 2001 with promises to lighten the burden on the world's second most heavily taxed nation and to crack down on asylum-seekers.

The minority Liberal-Conservative coalition has held power with support in parliament from the anti-immigrant DPP.

In 2005, the prime minister won a new term with similar pledges and a commitment to support Denmark's extensive welfare state. Rasmussen was at the centre of a crisis last year when he refused to apologize for cartoons depicting the Prophet Mohammad published in a Danish newspaper.

The veteran politician called Tuesday's election 15 months earlier than required in what analysts said was a bid to capitalize on a strong economy and 33-year low unemployment ahead of thorny public sector wage talks.

Rasmussen has been in a neck-and-neck race with Thorning-Schmidt for most of the campaign, before opinion polls on Tuesday showed the pendulum swinging back his way.

Surveys showed Danish voters going into the election were more concerned with the health of the welfare system than with immigration, the hot topic of the 2005 vote.

Voter turnout was 86.6 percent.

Rasmussen's Liberals lost six of their seats on Tuesday to take 46 mandates in parliament but kept a slim majority thanks to a strong showing by the DPP, which gained one seat.

He worked to disarm the charismatic Thorning-Schmidt, daughter-in-law of Britain's former Labour Party leader Neil Kinnock, in areas where she could have challenged him in the campaign -- withdrawing Danish ground troops from Iraq and softening his stance on asylum-seekers with children.

Thorning-Schmidt told supporters she had fought hard but it "was not enough". Her party lost two seats, ending with 45.

(Additional reporting by Gelu Sulugiuc, John Acher, Karin Jensen, Mette Fraende, Erik Matzen, Soren Bjerregaard and Martin Burlund; Editing by Stephen Weeks)