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Niccolo and Donkey
08-31-2008, 03:40 AM
Martin McGuinness: There can be no going back (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/martin-mcguinness-there-can-be-no-going-back-913922.html)

Independent UK

August 31, 2008


Northern Ireland's Deputy First Minister was once said – in a government euphemism – to have had 'first-hand operational experience' in the IRA. But, he says, since teaming up with his former foe Ian Paisley, attitudes towards him changed overnight

http://www.independent.co.uk/multimedia/archive/00049/mcguinness_pa_49778a.jpg

Brightly coloured sight-seeing buses cruise along the Falls Road, with rain-soaked heads turning as the guides point out the headquarters of Sinn Fein: this is post-Troubles Belfast.

But inside the building, things are not at all relaxed: it is a hive of activity, with men and women bounding purposefully up and down the stairs and in and out of the building. "That door never stops," said the cheerful republican on security duty.

There used to be a great deal of overlap between Sinn Fein and the IRA, but now the "armed struggle" is no more. Once a centre of subversion, the office is now strictly confined to the business of politics.

This is one of the offices used by Martin McGuinness, once regarded by Downing Street as a republican with "first-hand operational experience". Now he is a senior political figure.

As Deputy First Minister, he also has another office in the baronial splendour of Stormont Castle, once occupied by the British ministers who used to run Northern Ireland.

Today Westminster shares power with Belfast's devolved government, which last year came into being amid widespread amazement and a general welcome for what was seen as an epic breakthrough.

McGuinness, a one-time icon of militancy but now a symbol of his movement's politicisation, readily acknowledged the difficulties within the administration that was headed jointly by Sinn Fein and the Democratic Unionist Party.

Not too many years ago, talk of difficulties often brought warnings of a possible surge in violence. Today, this element is gone. There will certainly be crises ahead, but they will be political, and not matters of life and death.

Time was when many viewed McGuinness as one of those who kept the Troubles going, blaming him for prolonging the conflict. Many felt exactly the same about his loyalist counterpart, the Reverend Ian Paisley.

Yet the general perception of both men changed dramatically last year, when Sinn Fein and the DUP formed their governing coalition. Most people were, in the words of McGuinness, "gobsmacked and amazed" that they could make peace after all those decades of implacable enmity.

A double act developed, characterised by so much bonhomie and good cheer that McGuinness and Paisley became known as the "Chuckle Brothers". Paisley (like the IRA) has now left the scene, to be replaced as First Minister by his deputy, Peter Robinson.

The republican leader now sounds almost nostalgic about the Paisley-McGuinness double act, saying of the octogenarian loyalist leader: "I respected his mandate, I respected his age and the courageous decision that he took to come into government."

He recalled how attitudes towards them changed overnight. "Ian Paisley and I would tell each other stories about the people who approached us after making the deal," he said.

"He told me about coming off a plane at Heathrow, and this woman came over and said, 'Mr Paisley, can I shake your hand?' And he said yes, and they shook hands. Then she said that a couple of months earlier she wouldn't have shaken his hand; she would probably have slapped him on the face – and it turned out she was the Mother Superior of a nunnery. But she praised him to high heaven and said he had done a good thing and she wanted to say thanks."

McGuinness has had similar encounters. "I told him about being in the City Hotel in Derry, and this woman came running up to me and said, 'Can I give you a big hug?' And I said yes, and she hugged me. Then she said, 'I wouldn't have given you a big hug before this – I'm an Ian Paisley supporter, but I think what you've done is absolutely tremendous.' That happens to me all the time.

"I think that tells you how things have changed, and that something very, very powerful has happened. And it's not just on this island.

"In all the times I've travelled to London since 1994, everybody that comes up to me tells me to keep up the good work. I haven't heard one angry voice, which is absolutely amazing."

But does he get such reactions from people who have specifically suffered at the hands of the IRA? "I meet people all the time who have been hurt by the IRA," he replied. "Some of the most humbling moments are meeting those people, and they put out their hands and say, 'Well done, this is good, keep it going.'"

He recalled receiving a letter asking for a meeting from a number of disabled police officers. The request produced, he said, "all sorts of opinions within Sinn Fein" on whether or not to hold such a meeting.

"But I met them," he recalled. "When they came into the room. it was clear they were disabled as a result of the conflict and as a result of being injured by the IRA. But they shook hands and said, 'We're here to say we support what you're doing, that we support this process.'"

The IRA killed many police officers, but now Sinn Fein supports policing and justice: McGuinness has paid hospital visits to a number of officers who have been injured in attacks by dissident republicans.

Of the violent dissidents, he commented: "Those people think that more car-bombing, more military activity, is going to bring about the freedom of Ireland, but they're living in cloud cuckoo land.

"They need to recognise and understand that we're in a new situation, and that there cannot be – under any circumstances whatever – any contemplation of going back to the bad old days. People should assist in the apprehension of those who are involved in these deeds."

To those splinter groups who still wage small-scale campaigns of sporadic violence, he said: "My message is that it is a totally futile exercise that runs totally contrary to what the people of Ireland as a whole want.

"Any attempt to plunge us back into the violent days is not going to be supported. Do they really want to see 20,000 or 30,000 soldiers back on the streets?"

The Deputy First Minister gets up at 5.30am each day to drive from his home city of Londonderry to Belfast – a journey he says, with a passing grumble about the state of the motorway, that can take hours.

Then it's attending the Northern Ireland Assembly in Belfast, chairing and taking part in meetings, signing letters, studying documents, seeing delegations until eight or nine o'clock in the evening. "It's just wall-to-wall meetings from morning to night," he said.

McGuinness has never met David Cameron, though he has met members of the Shadow Cabinet. Gordon Brown, he said, has been through "excruciatingly difficult" times.

In common with other political figures, he reported that there is "huge interest, absolutely amazing interest" in the Irish peace process from further afield, citing visitors from Sri Lanka, the Middle East, the Basque country and elsewhere.

He has travelled twice to Helsinki and once to Baghdad for talks on Iraq. "All we can do is offer our experiences. I tell them that without decisive leadership, it is almost impossible to resolve conflict. We have no delusions of grandeur about our abilities to resolve those conflicts – but if it saves lives, why not negotiate now?"

Could that not apply to Ireland as well? "We have to recognise that, in the final analysis, we got it done," he responded.

The performances of McGuinness and his party's president, Gerry Adams, were both commended in the recent book on the peace process by Tony Blair's chief of staff, Jonathan Powell, who spent many hours engrossed in often tense negotiations with them.

Powell wrote: "It was a remarkable act of leadership by Adams and McGuinness to talk the IRA into peace and to persuade them to settle for something far less than they had demanded in 1993." (Of the two, Powell found McGuinness "more human, though we suspected he had more first-hand operational experience".)

The peace process is now at yet another tricky point, since Paisley's replacement in June by the markedly less jovial Peter Robinson. Sinn Fein figures complain that few major governmental decisions have been going their way.

McGuinness is reserved, but not hostile, when talking about his new governmental partner. "I have entered into the relationship with Peter Robinson with a commitment and dedication to make it work," he said.

"I think it's fair to say there have been difficulties, but my assessment is: why would he not want it to work? It's still early days in the leadership of Peter Robinson, but I'm working on the basis that he wants this to succeed. I'm optimistic."

There are grumbles, in the republican grassroots, that the DUP is blocking what Sinn Fein would like to see happening in important areas such as policing and justice, education reform, the status of the Irish language and the future of the old Maze prison.

McGuinness acknowledged that there was a certain amount of restlessness and frustration in the republican community, and added: "I suppose that has been a feature of the process from the very beginning – people are impatient for change, and I think rightly so.

"Nobody could say with their hand on their heart that, at this stage, the institutions have delivered everything that people want. But I think what they want to know is: are they beginning to deliver and is the potential there for delivery?

"All of this is worth nothing if it doesn't make a difference, a real difference."

The power-sharing executive clearly has its stresses and strains: republicans, as ever, want rapid movement on various fronts, while loyalists, as usual, are suspicious of wholesale change. Robinson is certainly in favour of the settlement, but some in his party want to see rather less chuckling and rather more opposition to the republican agenda.

McGuinness is hopeful. "A Rubicon has been crossed by everybody, and the project for me now is to ensure that there can be no going back. This is the only sane and sensible way forward for all of us," he insisted. "This is the best way to break down the old hatreds and divisions."

As a young man, he pursued military victory over his opponents; now, in his late fifties, his talk is of relationships, of negotiation, of mandates, of his belief that violence is futile.

What has he learnt in the course of his controversial, incident-packed career? "Compromises have had to be made: compromise is a dirty word in the course of Irish politics, but people recognise that they had to be made," he said.

"I'll tell you what I've learnt. I've learnt that nothing is impossible – that no matter how things are, if there's a will to find a way through, then a way will be found."

cerberus
08-31-2008, 02:20 PM
Whilst I would have differences with M.McG. I do agree with him that the Rubicon has been crossed and in common with Peter Robinson ( Whom I would also have differences with) settlement has to be found and it won't come easy nor will it appear overnight .
"Going back" is not an option and the throwbacks who still want an "armed struggle" or feel that it has to be continued are prisoners of the past and a popular image which has had its day.

A painful realisation lies ahead for us all , we have come a long way and have further to go .
"There" means different things to different people and folks had better realise that no one is going to have their own interests served all the time - and not getting exactly what you want , when you want it is part of taking this process forward.

The press remind us from time to time that " the peace process is in trouble" - I would be worried if it were not "in trouble" - it comes from making any form of progress - things may be slow but they will happen if good will , common sense , mutual respect , tolerance and a willingness to ditch the petty ignorance and inbred hatred which a minority impart as a "blessing" to their children.

Trust and leadership are important - honesty and plain talking can't do any harm , and a realisation that the insane bit has been done - that awfully bloody mess of regional and national self harm - going back is not an option - "going back" is an easy option - it takes little imagination , no thought and gives no consideration for the future- just a capacity to kill and destroy in the name of a people who no longer want to see bloodshed.

10 years ago the DUP were determined to bring down any powersharing or any "deal with Dublin" - they had done so before and they vowed to do the same again -to "do another deal" - this has not happened and they have had to deal with reality - perhaps for the first time in many years.

http://i265.photobucket.com/albums/ii221/lisset158/DSCF2760-1.jpg

http://i265.photobucket.com/albums/ii221/lisset158/DSCF2761-1.jpg

34 years on are we seriously thinking that actions like this are a reasonable way to settle differences of tradition and political aspiration , I sometimes think the pople who pull the triggers or want to detonate bombs have a memory of micro seconds - we have been there and done this - "going back" is not a option.

http://i265.photobucket.com/albums/ii221/lisset158/DSCF2826.jpg

http://i265.photobucket.com/albums/ii221/lisset158/DSCF2825.jpg

Felix the Cat
08-31-2008, 11:35 PM
These things are cyclic. It's 1910 or 1960 at the moment.

Ireland will probably be repartitioned.

cerberus
09-01-2008, 12:40 AM
C.C. It could never work like that - I can't that happening.

Niccolo and Donkey
09-01-2008, 02:24 AM
C.C. It could never work like that - I can't that happening.

Cererbus, I too agree that there can be no going back and not simply because of the momentum built politically and the solidification of Northern Irish institutions, but also because the game has changed in general. Devolution in the UK plus the continuing rise of the EU and a better economic situation in the Republic itself make the present time a much different one than 1968.

The DUP has seen the writing on the wall in regards to what London is willing to do for them and how far it is willing to go and they realize that they have no choice but to work with the Republicans. As for Sinn Fein, they too realize how far London will let them go and that they've gone as far as they could with an armed struggle.

cerberus
09-01-2008, 08:11 PM
To me what took place over the past 30 years has been a waste - an old time copper once said to me that not one scrap of land is worth anyone's blood - social change had to take place and it would have - the old Stormount structure had had its day - it really served no ones interest.
I agree Niccolo & D. that the DUP really had no other option other than to
be part of the solution and to some extent they had played themselves into that position.
A guy who lives next door to me was an ardent DUP supporter - when he attempted to enage me in political discussions I was always lukw warm and he knew my views were much more MOR than his - as soon as the DUP embraced the agreement and took office - his ties with the DUP ended - he I am sure is not alone in wondering "what are we doing there" ?
The "never , never , never" style of politics has become a thing of the past , I have to wonder what IKP was about - making himself top dog - empire building becomning the "No.1" party was what it was all about.

SF have played their cards well and to be honest I see no reason why they can't be worked with - all in all it makes the past 30 years seem all the more of a waste - bottomline was it had to end in some form of dialogue.

Niccolo and Donkey
09-01-2008, 08:21 PM
To me what took place over the past 30 years has been a waste - an old time copper once said to me that not one scrap of land is worth anyone's blood - social change had to take place and it would have - the old Stormount structure had had its day - it really served no ones interest.
I agree Niccolo & D. that the DUP really had no other option other than to
be part of the solution and to some extent they had played themselves into that position.
A guy who lives next door to me was an ardent DUP supporter - when he attempted to enage me in political discussions I was always lukw warm and he knew my views were much more MOR than his - as soon as the DUP embraced the agreement and took office - his ties with the DUP ended - he I am sure is not alone in wondering "what are we doing there" ?
The "never , never , never" style of politics has become a thing of the past , I have to wonder what IKP was about - making himself top dog - empire building becomning the "No.1" party was what it was all about.

SF have played their cards well and to be honest I see no reason why they can't be worked with - all in all it makes the past 30 years seem all the more of a waste - bottomline was it had to end in some form of dialogue.

Quite often events simply have to be allowed to play themselves out because extremes are an option that often tempts and memories can sometimes be short. Catholic-Protestant violence was quite muffled for two generations prior to the 30 years of The Troubles so most people had little memory of what violence was like. And once violence is brought about it has a tendency to beget more violence. Yet violence will tire out the combantants and what holds true here in this situation is that it's the parties of the extremes that eventually recognize that they've simply tired themselves out and have canceled each other out. When the extremists call it a day on campaigns of violence, it lends legitimacy to those calls. The SDLP was opposed to violence but that was taken for granted so their calls weren't necessarily carrying any weight.

From a risk assessment view, the politics of non-violence in Northern Ireland can reap the greatest rewards at present and for the foreseeable future.

cerberus
09-01-2008, 08:55 PM
All fires have to burn themselves out - N.I. was perhaps no different , acceptance and eventaually indifference played a part - most folks neever gave it too much thought unless the violence landed on their own doorstep or touched them as individuals.

shanemac
09-01-2008, 09:36 PM
What happened in Northern Ireland between 1969 and 1993 was not some inevitable cyclic event that was destined to happen because that is the way of the world. It was a unique situation caused by a unique culmination of factors. These were

On the republican side
*The tradition of militant republicanism was still strong (as 1916-1921 was still within living memory).
*The civil rights movement had made so much progress in America & other countries.
*Socialism was still a vibrant ideology and had many adherents (Sinn Fein was a socialist party).
* The concept of the armed struggle for freedom was still strong (as it had been shown to work in WW2, and also in countries that had gone through socialist revolutions).
* Hippie "folk" movements were strong throughout Europe.
* The young catholics of Northern Ireland felt frustrated that they still had to be under the thumb of the Brits, while the rest of Ireland was free.
* Most people still believed in religion.

On the Unionist side
* The tradition of triumphalist "Britannia rules the waves" meme was still strong.
* The entire economy of Northern Ireland depended on links with Britain, and would have sunk if it were included in the republic.
* The protestants were in the ascendancy in NI and had no reason to want to change that state of affairs.
*Most people still believed in religion.

These factors no longer hold true, and I doubt we'll ever see such a unique set of factors causing the perfect storm ever again in Norther Ireland.

Felix the Cat
09-01-2008, 10:55 PM
Could the current arrangements survive a major economic downturn? That will be the real test.

cerberus
09-02-2008, 09:47 AM
I think the economic problems will hit hard.

Errigal
09-02-2008, 10:50 AM
A mood of boredom - which is constant in some parts of Derry and Belfast - acts like a pile of dead wood that can be lit by some outside event. I think an economic crisis, accompanied by a crisis of legitimacy in the EU or the UK could bring a return to violence.

This would be great news for the many people around the internet who seem to find political violence in Ireland to be great sport. A return to violence at the level of the 70s and 80s would be awful for people trying to make a life for themselves and their families in Ulster, but it would be great fun for the bar-room boys from Spain to Seattle.

* Most people still believed in religion.

The Christian religion actually helps broker cease-fires and bridge community divides more than it causes violence. Because the churches are an integral part of society, religion becomes entangled in politics but the argument is political, not religious.

cerberus
09-02-2008, 11:36 AM
The idiots brigade and flag wavers have a great view from the bottom of a beer bottle or pint glass - not so great when it comes to anything more than hot air.

I think folks are generally more tuned in than turn back the clock - there are those who still live in the past and have a need for it - perhaps Rockall might be a suitable enviroment for them to act this out.

harjit
09-02-2008, 11:37 AM
A mood of boredom - which is constant in some parts of Derry and Belfast - acts like a pile of dead wood that can be lit by some outside event. I think an economic crisis, accompanied by a crisis of legitimacy in the EU or the UK could bring a return to violence.

This would be great news for the many people around the internet who seem to find political violence in Ireland to be great sport. A return to violence at the level of the 70s and 80s would be awful for people trying to make a life for themselves and their families in Ulster, but it would be great fun for the bar-room boys from Spain to Seattle.
And maybe even as far as Hong Kong.

Our own 000, geeking away at his PC in a drab cold-water walk-up in Kowloon, will suddenly have a veritable cornucopia of articles on intra-white disunity and mayhem to post daily in our collective faces.

Jake Featherston
09-02-2008, 01:04 PM
A mood of boredom - which is constant in some parts of Derry and Belfast - acts like a pile of dead wood that can be lit by some outside event. I think an economic crisis, accompanied by a crisis of legitimacy in the EU or the UK could bring a return to violence.

Yes, boredom is a greatly underestimated cause of war. If all the young men have good jobs, the likelihood of armed struggle (whether in Northern Ireland or anywhere else) falls precipitously. I remember an interview with a couple of Albanian Kosovars who, when asked what they did with their spare time before the war was on, responded "hunt Serbs," which I took to mean looking for opportunities to engage in highway robbery, rape, and the like. Maybe if they'd had full-time employment, they'd have still hunted Serbs on the weekends, but I'm inclined to doubt it. Of course, that was the Balkans, so you never know, never-the-less, I think my point stands.

Errigal
09-02-2008, 01:19 PM
Yes, boredom is a greatly underestimated cause of war. If all the young men have good jobs, the likelihood of armed struggle (whether in Northern Ireland or anywhere else) falls precipitously. ...

Yes, good jobs are important: jobs that give young men the chance to engage their minds and make decisions. Also jobs in which they can literally, not figuratively, take ownership in their workplace. People smash things they do not own when they're bored or angry; they are far less likely to sabotage projects in which they're a part owner.

The revival and application of the some of the key ideas of Distributism, National Syndicalism and the Co-operative movement could help in Northern Ireland and the rest of Ireland, IMO.

Merriman
09-21-2008, 10:25 PM
Errigal, How would you view The policies of Eire Nua
and Saol Nua then?

http://rsf.ie/eirenua.htm

http://rsf.ie/saolnua.htm

When presented to leaders of loyalist and unionist groups during secret discussions these were viewed positively. Loyalists felt that that after their first choice of an 'independant 6 county state (which Republicans felt was unviable) that these made most sense. True Republicans do not want to see the 6 counties and its people subsumed into the 26 county state, but seek the a new Ireland. At the end of the day the root cause must be dealt with. The Irish people , of all and no religious persuasions are surely able to work things out themselves.