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Ixtab
05-01-2006, 11:29 PM
Europe's Chastisement? -- How the Abandonment of Christianity May Be Leading to Disaster
Feature by Ed Vitagliano
April 12, 2006
(AgapePress) - Anyone know where we can find some Etruscans? You know, members of the Etruscan civilization that existed in ancient Italy, predating even Rome?
Well, there aren't any. The Etruscans were absorbed by the Roman civilization and ceased to exist as a distinct people.
Ominously, if a growing number of experts and cultural observers are right, it's entirely possible that the same question may be asked 100 years from now -- only about Italians or Spaniards or Russians.
As writer Mark Steyn glumly put it in The New Criterion, "Much of what we loosely call the Western world will not survive this century, and much of it will effectively disappear within our lifetimes, including many if not most Western European countries."
A Birth Dearth
What could possibly cause such a cataclysm? Another world war? A nuclear confrontation? The devastation of a plague, similar to that caused by the Black Death in the 14th century? Nothing quite so dramatic, say the experts. Rather, Europe is slowly dying simply by refusing to have enough children to replace the people who die each year.
Catholic scholar George Weigel, a senior fellow of the Ethics and Public Policy Center and author of The Cube and The Cathedral, says Europe is "committing demographic suicide, systematically depopulating itself."
For any population to remain stable, it must maintain a birthrate of 2.1 births per woman. That rate provides a replacement for both mother and father, while the .1 covers infant and child mortality. When the birthrate falls below that number, a population goes into decline -- unless it invites in large numbers of immigrants.
"The 'birth dearth' is what demographers call plummeting birth rates in most of the industrialized world," says culture critic Chuck Colson. "Throughout Western Europe and East Asia, the birth rate is well below 2.1 births per woman ...."
Sociologist Ben Wattenberg, author of Fewer: How the New Demography of Depopulation Will Shape Our Future, puts this birth dearth in historical perspective. "Never in the last 650 years, since the time of the Black Plague, have birth and fertility rates fallen so far, so fast, so low, for so long, in so many places."
According to U.N. figures and other projections, Patrick Buchanan states in The Death of the West that by 2050 Europe (from Iceland to Russia) will see its population drop from 728 million (in 2000) to 600 million -- and perhaps 556 million. And if current trends continue, by the end of the century Europe's population will stand at 207 million.
Collapse of Family Values
Why has this happened? As it turns out, a variety of factors and trends have combined to create, as it were, the "perfect storm."
World magazine's Gene Edward Veith sums it up this way: "Why the population decline? The worldwide collapse of what are, literally, family values. Thanks to contraceptive technology, sex has become separated from childbearing. With women pursuing careers of their own and men getting sex without the responsibility of marriage, why bother with children? For many women and men, pregnancy has become an unpleasant side effect, something to prevent with contraceptives or easily treated with a trip to the abortion clinic."
Abortion comes in for particular blame in Veith's view. "The dirty little secret of the population implosion, one seldom mentioned by demographers, is that the world is aborting its future generations," he says.
Pro-family groups in the U.S., for example, rightly bemoan the abortion rate here, where Veith says one-third to one-fifth of all pregnancies end in abortion. Some European nations are far worse, however. "In Russia, the average woman may have as many as four abortions in her lifetime," he says. "There are two abortions for every live birth. That is to say, Russians kill two-thirds of their children before they are born."
All this is symptomatic of a pervasive hedonism that permeates the West, "a complete philosophy of pleasure," according to Allan Carlson, president of The Howard Center for Family, Religion and Society.
"Everywhere in the European Community and Anglo-America, real attention focuses on the consumption of food (alternately rich and fat-free), frequent sex, and raucous fun," Carlson says. "Relatively few are pestered these days by children. Fertile young adults rely on mechanical devices and chemical agents to thwart the designs of nature. In places as culturally different as Spain, Italy, Denmark and Germany, the sexual experimentation starts early, but hardly anyone brings forth a child."
Despite efforts on the part of some European nations to increase the desire of adults to have children -- such as tax breaks or cash incentives -- some experts think the pursuit of personal fulfillment will triumph.
Joseph Chamie, director of the U.N. Population Division, says, "No demographers believe birth rates will rebound. How much will it take to convince a woman to have four children? People are concerned about their appearances, their education, their careers."
What's ironic, however, is that this pursuit of personal pleasure and personal wealth may result in economic ruin.
"When it comes to forecasting the future, the birthrate is the nearest thing to hard numbers," Steyn argues. "If only a million babies are born in 2006, it's hard to have two million adults enter the workforce in 2026 ...."
Veith lists but a few of the ramifications of population decline. "Citizens are not just consumers but producers," he says. "Having fewer people can wreak havoc on an economy, creating both a labor shortage and a shortage of buyers. A government with a shrinking population faces a smaller military and fewer taxpayers. Dwindling populations have always signaled cultural decline, with less creativity, energy, and vitality on every level of society."
Abandoning Christianity
These explanations do not go far enough to suit culture critic and columnist Don Feder, who sees Europe's abandonment of its Christian heritage as the true root cause of its population problems.
"It's no coincidence that central to the new Europe ... is a refusal to acknowledge the continent's origins," says Feder, who is Jewish. "The proposed constitution for the European Union (a document of over 70,000 words) contains not a single reference to Christianity. Thus more than a millennium of European history is effectively erased."
The abandonment of Christianity in most European countries has been well-documented. For example, author and journalist James P. Gannon says that in five key European countries -- France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany and Italy -- over the last 30 years regular church attendance has fallen from roughly 40% of the population to about 20%." As Weigel says, Western Europe has become a "post-Christian society."
Feder believes there is a clear link between a lack of faith and the loss of that sense of duty to the future that leads people to conceive and bear children. "Having lost their faith and embraced an ethic of radical autonomy," he says, "Europeans stopped going to church, stopped taking the Bible seriously, stopped believing in the future and stopped having children."
Maria Burani, president of the Parliamentary Commission for the Family and Infancy in Rome, told Citizen magazine that faith is a foundation for the kind of lifestyle that parenting requires. "If you don't have inside your head great religious and ethical principles," she insists, "you're just not going to want to go and have these kids because it's a sacrifice."
Beyond that, of course, is the fact that religious principles also restrain the often selfish behavior that grows out of the "radical autonomy" that permeates Europe. "Among the consequences of Europe's abandonment of its religious roots and the moral code that derives therefrom is a plunge in its birth rates to below the replacement level," says Gannon. "Abortion, birth control, acceptance of gay marriage and casual sex are driving the trend."
Islamification of Europe
However, the prognosis for Europe gets even worse because many of the nations there have chosen a risky path for making up for their population shortfalls: immigration. Because North Africa and the Middle East represent a relatively convenient source of cheap labor, millions of Muslim immigrants have been flooding the continent for a half century.
"Western Europe has gone from a Muslim population of 250,000, 50 years ago, to 20 million today," says Feder.
Unlike Westerners, however, Muslims typically have large families. According to Robert S. Leiken, director of the Immigration and National Security Program at the Nixon Center, higher Muslim birthrates combined with Muslim immigration have led the U.S. National Intelligence Council to project that Europe's Muslim population will double by 2025.
As a result, Colson says flatly, "[d]emographics may bring about what the Moors and Ottoman Empire couldn't: a Muslim Europe."
But so what? Isn't such hand-wringing about Muslim immigrants nothing more than utter bigotry?
Hardly, say concerned Westerners. The Islamification of Europe would bring incredible cultural changes to Europe. "In 50 to 100 years, the Europe of Shakespeare and Victor Hugo, the Europe of Rembrandt and Bach, the Europe of Churchill and Karol Wojtyla will exist only in textbooks and museums," Feder says. "Or, perhaps the remnants of Christian Europe will be subjected to the fate of Afghanistan's Buddhist statues, demolished by the Taliban regime."
Political changes would also be inevitable, Steyn insists. "Can a society become increasingly Islamic in its demographic character without becoming increasingly Islamic in its political character?"
It is a rhetorical question, of course, and Steyn predicts that by 2050 many European nations will be forced to apply Sharia -- Muslim law -- to Muslim communities. He notes the results of a 2004 poll that found that over 60 percent of British Muslims want to live under Muslim law -- while living in the United Kingdom.
At first, most European governments would probably resist the demands of an increasingly assertive Muslim population. But in response, it would not be surprising to see an escalation of what has already begun to transpire: terrorist bombings in London and Madrid; the 2002 assassination of conservative Dutch politician Pim Fortuyn, who campaigned on a platform of limiting Muslim immigration; the murder of filmmaker Theo van Gogh in 2004 for allegedly insulting Islam; rioting by Muslim youths throughout France in 2005; and rioting this year in response to political cartoons that were deemed offensive to Muslim sensibilities.
Steyn thinks Europe will see more such unrest -- and soon. "It seems more likely that within the next couple of European election cycles, the internal contradictions of the [European Union] will manifest themselves in the usual way," he says, "and that by 2010 we'll be watching burning buildings, street riots and assassinations on American network news every night."
In any case, Carlson says, "the Great Party [of Western hedonism] will not last much longer. There is an iron law in history: the future belongs to the fertile. Just as the clan-centered, child-rich barbarian tribes of the Germans swept away the sensuous and sterile Western Roman Empire, so shall new barbarians arise."
Scripture teaches that God rules over the nations, and the future of Europe looks increasingly like that of Israel when its prophets warned of impending chastisement and judgment. Are we on the brink of God's chastisement of Europe, even after a century of wars and other atrocities failed to bring the continent back to Christianity?
How ironic it would be that a European culture that demanded unlimited personal freedom might wind up living under the repressive heel of Muslim totalitarianism. Or that a culture that rejected its Christian heritage might, instead, be subjected to Islamic fundamentalism.
Cultures have disappeared before. Just ask the Etruscans. If you can find one.
http://headlines.agapepress.org/archive/4/afa/122006a.asp-----------------------

Sulla the Dictator
05-01-2006, 11:57 PM
Question: How many people do we all need? Does Spain need a population of 150 million? Does the US need to hit one billion to match the Chinese?

Or does modern society reach a point where we don't need bodies to achieve tasks, and therefore don't need to breed like insects?

Lionheart
05-02-2006, 12:54 AM
Question: How many people do we all need? Does Spain need a population of 150 million? Does the US need to hit one billion to match the Chinese?

Or does modern society reach a point where we don't need bodies to achieve tasks, and therefore don't need to breed like insects?
I totally agree with you on this one. We have way too many people as it is. I imagine that'll change once the oil runs out.

Ahknaton
05-02-2006, 01:26 AM
In my opinion the problem isn't the decline in population, but the immigration that is being used to make up for the population shortfall.

The modern economy combined with liberal/feminist attitudes is a demographic pyramid scheme. Essentially what's happening is that immigration is breaking the feedback mechanism by which we gauge whether our social and economic policies are sustainable and realistic. If current birthrates are not sustainable then the natural process would be for the economy to shrink, and for this signal to act as a feedback mechanism into demographic patterns (people tend to have more children when poor). Because we are importing immigrants to cover the losses, we are essentially breeding ourselves into a minority and we've broken the signal that might alert us to this!

This is made worse by the fact that the capitalist economic model is predicated on continual growth, which requires continual expansion of markets, requiring new consumers. However the consumerist culture does not encourage behaviour that produces these consumers (i.e. high birth rates).

IMHO immigration control is necessary to ensure that we are running a "closed system" so that demographically unsustainable policies become identifiable as such. The current situation is like expecting a business to balance it's books with an unlimited line of credit. We need to balance our demographic books.

Another reason for immigration control is that it acts as a form of protectionism, similar to trade barriers. Without protectionism, Western workers would have to compete with workers in parts of the world who have no unions, worker's rights, proper safety standards etc, so would be difficult or impossible for any developed country to introduce enlightened labour laws without immediately condemning their economy to deline at the hands of Darwinistic market forces.

Analogously, it's impossible for Western countries to provide decent freedom for women (long-term, sustainably) if Western women are in a demographic struggle against high-fertility, low-freedom-for-women cultures such as Islam, because giving women rights will just mean that Westerners lose control of their own countries via demographic suicide. Strong immigration laws allow us to practise socially enlightened attitudes towards women without it resulting in Whites being supplanted in their own countries, because it frees us from direct demographic competition with these alien cultures, in the same way that trade protectionism frees Western workers from competition with third world workers getting 20c an hour (or would do, if it was implemented).

If it wasn't for immigration, enlightened attitudes towards women would result in a reduction in the population of Western countries to a more environmentally sustainable level. Win-win. Without it, it just means that cultures like Islam predominate through demographic preponderance, women's rights go back to square one, and Whites lose control of their countries.

Janus
05-02-2006, 01:26 AM
How many people do we all need? My estimate is around five-hundred thousand. ;)

jcs
05-02-2006, 01:29 AM
My estimate is around five-hundred thousand.
Heh, I think it was half a billion, not half a million.

Fade the Butcher
05-02-2006, 01:56 AM
Dan Dare is right on this issue. We have too many useless people consuming limited natural resources today. A decline in the population of Europe wouldn't be such a bad thing if it were not for the influx of aliens and the dysgenic effect of differential birthrates amongst the classes. The decline of Europe's population after the Black Death elevated the price of labor and played an important role in the decline of serfdom.

Janus
05-02-2006, 02:04 AM
Heh, I think it was half a billion, not half a million. I doubt you know me that well.

Petr
05-02-2006, 08:29 AM
A decline in the population of Europe wouldn't be such a bad thing if it were not for the influx of aliens and the dysgenic effect of differential birthrates amongst the classes. The decline of Europe's population after the Black Death elevated the price of labor and played an important role in the decline of serfdom.
Armchair social planner is in da house...


Petr

Fade the Butcher
05-02-2006, 03:01 PM
The world is about to end because we are going to be short of a million Joe Sicks packs driving SUVs, consuming cheese doodles, and sucking in enormous quantities of alcohol.